What It Takes to Make Good Decisions: Judgment, Not Calculation
The real work in deciding is not in the calculation, but all the thinking that surrounds it.
The real work in deciding is not in the calculation, but all the thinking that surrounds it.
A half century of research on how people make decisions has shown that rational choice theory fails to describe how people do choose. Nevertheless, it has remained at the center of things, as the normative answer to questions about how people should choose.
The theory that underpins much of decision-making science falls short as a way to think about how we actually make decisions and how decisions should be made.
Our list of noteworthy behavioral science books published in 2025.
We invite you to a new online conversation series, “Frontiers,” where we’ll host live conversations with people who are pushing the boundaries of behavioral science.
The idea of parenting styles is far-reaching but built on sparse evidence. A team of scientists have turned to parenting behaviors, rather than styles, to discover what matters most for children’s success.
As we determine where to allocate effort and money, when to keep going and when to give up, different production functions call for different strategies. Yet, we rarely consider what production functions can tell us about our progress.
In this award-winning, longform feature, Greg Rosalsky, an economics reporter and avid backcountry snowboarder, dives into the decades-long quest to overcome “the human factor” in avalanche deaths.
The possibility grid is a universal tool to draw attention to what is absent. It alerts you to think about rates of success rather than stories of successes.
How taking the perspective of a friend you disagree with could help you make better estimates.